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MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

48-24-10  |  Road

6
FINAL
Thu, May 21 • 8:00 PM ET
Lenovo Center
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

53-22-7  |  Home

2
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
0%
📊
HURRICANES
100%
CANADIENS --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CanadiensMTL (-3.5) 0 HurricanesCAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canadiens Cover

30.9%

Hurricanes Cover

69.1%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

MTL By 1 goal

19.7%

MTL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

CAR By 1 goal

12.1%

CAR By 2-3 goals

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
MONTREAL
3
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
2
MONTREAL
4
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Canadiens Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim Hurricanes (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2026 CAR @ MTL 6 - 4
May 29, 2026 MTL @ CAR 1 - 6
May 27, 2026 CAR @ MTL 4 - 0
May 25, 2026 CAR @ MTL 3 - 2
May 23, 2026 MTL @ CAR 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +44.4% more
Montreal: 19.6 vs Carolina: 10.9
Power Play % (L5) +18.2%
Carolina: 20.5% vs Montreal: 2.2%
Hits (L5) +17.8% more
Carolina: 32.3 vs Montreal: 27.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MTL Score 4.0 6
CAR Score 3.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
75%MONEY25%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
MTL
CAR
MTL
ML
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
ATS
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
100% 4-0
100% 3-0
TTL
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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