Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ Knicks CLE @ NY

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

52-30  |  Road

104
FINAL
Tue, May 19 • 8:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

53-29  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
CAVALIERS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

46.0%

Knicks Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

CLE By 1-7 points

26.2%

CLE By 8-14 points

16.9%

NY By 1-7 points

24.3%

NY By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
117
CLEVELAND
116
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
105
CLEVELAND
108
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knicks (+6) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o217.5 Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Sim u217.5 Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 25, 2026 NY @ CLE 130 - 93
May 23, 2026 NY @ CLE 121 - 108
May 21, 2026 CLE @ NY 93 - 109
May 19, 2026 CLE @ NY 104 - 115
Feb 24, 2026 NY @ CLE 94 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +32.6% more
Cleveland: 15.7 vs New York: 10.6
Blocks (L5) +22.5% more
Cleveland: 5.3 vs New York: 4.1
Turnovers (L5) +19.1% more
Cleveland: 15.8 vs New York: 12.8
Assists (L5) +20.8% more
New York: 28.9 vs Cleveland: 23.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 117.0 104
NY Score 116.0 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.9 / 33.9 31.0 / 32.0
Assists 28.9 / 23.9 20.0 / 23.0
Blocks 4.1 / 5.3 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 53.4 / 46.3 48.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 74.8 / 73.2 66.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 44.9 / 43.2 47.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.9 / 8.5 10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 15.8 19.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
2-1-0 (66.7%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -4.5
NY
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -4.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
0-3-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -4.5
NY Advantage
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -4.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
2-1-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +5.8
NY
0-4-0
O: 0.0% / U: 100.0% Total +/-: -15.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
CLE
NY
CLE
ML
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
100% 3-0
ATS
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
TTL
100% 4-0
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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