Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ Knicks CLE @ NY

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

52-30  |  Road

104
FINAL
Tue, May 19 • 8:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

53-29  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
CAVALIERS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

46.0%

Knicks Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

CLE By 1-7 points

26.2%

CLE By 8-14 points

16.9%

NY By 1-7 points

24.3%

NY By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
117
CLEVELAND
116
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
105
CLEVELAND
108
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knicks (+6) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o217.5 Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Sim u217.5 Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 25, 2026 NY @ CLE 130 - 93
May 23, 2026 NY @ CLE 121 - 108
May 21, 2026 CLE @ NY 93 - 109
May 19, 2026 CLE @ NY 104 - 115
Feb 24, 2026 NY @ CLE 94 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +22.7% more
Cleveland: 5.3 vs New York: 4.1
Turnovers (L5) +19.1% more
Cleveland: 15.8 vs New York: 12.8
Assists (L5) +20.8% more
New York: 28.9 vs Cleveland: 23.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.9%
New York: 42.9% vs Cleveland: 33.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 117.0 104
NY Score 116.0 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.9 / 33.9 31.0 / 32.0
Assists 28.9 / 23.9 20.0 / 23.0
Blocks 4.1 / 5.3 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 53.4 / 46.3 48.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 74.8 / 73.2 66.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 44.9 / 43.2 47.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.9 / 8.5 10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 15.8 19.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
37%MONEY63%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
CLE
NY
CLE
ML
61% 114-72
60% 69-46
56% 57-45
56% 55-44
ATS
67% 124-62
67% 75-37-3
56% 57-45
56% 55-44
TTL
72% 133-53
59% 68-47
100% 102-0
100% 99-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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