CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
52-30 | Road
125
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
60-22 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
PISTONS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
25.3%
CLE By 8-14 points
26.2%
DET By 1-7 points
13.7%
DET By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
119
CLEVELAND
Detroit
111
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Cleveland
102
CLEVELAND
Detroit
115
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (-4)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o205.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Sim
u205.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 17, 2026
CLE @ DET
125 - 94
May 15, 2026
DET @ CLE
115 - 94
May 13, 2026
CLE @ DET
117 - 113
May 11, 2026
DET @ CLE
103 - 112
May 9, 2026
DET @ CLE
109 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+25.5% more
Detroit: 9.7
vs
Cleveland: 7.7
Assists (L5)
+21.0% more
Detroit: 24.7
vs
Cleveland: 20.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Detroit: 40.2%
vs
Cleveland: 34.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.3%
Detroit: 48.3%
vs
Cleveland: 44.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
119.0
125
DET Score
111.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.2 / 34.9
31.0 / 32.0
Assists
24.7 / 20.4
21.0 / 31.0
Blocks
6.2 / 5.9
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 44.0
35.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
77.1 / 77.7
76.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
41.2 / 39.8
41.0 / 50.0
Steals
9.7 / 7.7
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
16.6 / 17.3
15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CLE
DET
CLE
ML
55%
64-53
60%
69-46
49%
47-49
56%
55-44
ATS
53%
60-54-3
67%
75-37-3
49%
47-49
56%
55-44
TTL
60%
70-46-1
59%
68-47
100%
96-0
100%
99-0
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