MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
25-17 | Road
2
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
20-25 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Logan Henderson
#43 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Yoendrys Gomez
#94 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Henderson | None-None | 3.50 | -- | 5.0 | 7 |
| Yoendrys Gomez | None-None | 5.31 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.50 Ldr
ERA
5.31
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
7 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
0%
TWINS
100%
BREWERS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIN +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIL By 3-4 runs
16.3%
MIN By 1-2 runs
16.3%
MIN By 3-4 runs
10.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Minnesota
6
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 9, 2026
MIN @ MIL
3 - 4
Aug 8, 2026
MIN @ MIL
3 - 4
Aug 7, 2026
MIN @ MIL
8 - 6
May 17, 2026
MIL @ MIN
4 - 5
May 16, 2026
MIL @ MIN
2 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.403
Slugging (SLG)
.403
.743
▲
OPS
.720
154
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+21.3% more
Milwaukee: 9.7
vs
Minnesota: 7.6
Runs per Game (Season)
+11.3% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Minnesota: 4.6
Hits (L5)
+10.7% more
Milwaukee: 9.0
vs
Minnesota: 8.1
On-Base Pct (Season)
+2.4%
Milwaukee: 34.1%
vs
Minnesota: 31.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
5.0
2
MIN Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.1 / 9.0
7.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.7 / 0.3
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.6 / 9.7
9.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
11.9 / 12.2
13.0 / 9.0
Walks
2.9 / 2.3
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
MIL
MIN
MIL
ML
52%
84-78
62%
101-61
50%
80-81
52%
84-78
ATS
59%
95-67
58%
94-68
59%
95-66
48%
78-84
TTL
51%
78-75-9
40%
62-92-8
53%
80-72-9
50%
77-77-8
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