Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Dodgers SF @ LAD

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

18-25  |  Road

2
FINAL
Thu, May 14 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

25-18  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
JT Brubaker
STARTING PITCHER

JT Brubaker

#34 | Relief Pitcher
@
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
JT Brubaker None-None 3.66 -- 1.0 1
Tanner Scott None-None 1.47 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
3.66 ERA Ldr 1.47
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
100%
📊
DODGERS
0%
GIANTS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

40.1%

Dodgers Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

SF By 1-2 runs

16.3%

SF By 3-4 runs

10.6%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAD By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
SAN FRANCISCO
6
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
SAN FRANCISCO
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim Dodgers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o7.5 Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim o7.5 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 LAD @ SF 5 - 1
Sep 26, 2026 LAD @ SF 4 - 3
Sep 25, 2026 LAD @ SF 2 - 0
Sep 20, 2026 SF @ LAD 1 - 3
Sep 19, 2026 SF @ LAD 4 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.706
OPS
▲ .762
178
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +59.1% more
Los Angeles: 9.5 vs San Francisco: 6.0
Home Runs (L5) +22.5% more
Los Angeles: 1.4 vs San Francisco: 1.1
Runs per Game (Season) +19.6% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs San Francisco: 4.1
Home Runs (Season) +14.6% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs San Francisco: 178.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 5.0 2
LAD Score 6.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.4 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 7.1 / 8.8 8.0 / 2.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 1.1 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 9.5 / 6.0 10.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 12.7 / 14.0 13.0 / 5.0
Walks 2.4 / 4.2 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
61%MONEY39%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
23%MONEY77%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
SF
LAD
SF
ML
56% 92-73
49% 79-81
48% 79-87
53% 85-75
ATS
59% 98-67
62% 100-60
43% 72-94
52% 83-77
TTL
48% 77-82-6
55% 82-68-10
44% 70-90-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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