Home / MLB Projections MLB / Tigers @ Mets DET @ NYM

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

19-23  |  Road

2
FINAL
Wed, May 13 • 7:10 PM ET
Citi Field
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

METSNYM

16-25  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Drew Anderson
STARTING PITCHER

Drew Anderson

#38 | Relief Pitcher
@
Devin Williams
STARTING PITCHER

Devin Williams

#38 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Drew Anderson None-None 5.48 -- 0.1 1
Devin Williams None-None 5.27 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
5.48 ERA Ldr 5.27
-- WHIP --
0.1 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
1 K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
METS
100%
TIGERS --
METS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Detroit)
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 MetsNYM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

69.1%

Mets Cover

30.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1-2 runs

19.6%

DET By 3-4 runs

18.4%

NYM By 1-2 runs

13.6%

NYM By 3-4 runs

7.8%

AI Model Projected Score
7
DETROIT
5
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
3
DETROIT
5
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mets Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim Mets (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.0 Loss
Proj Total: 12.0
D
Sim u8.0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 14, 2026 DET @ NYM 4 - 9
May 13, 2026 DET @ NYM 2 - 3
May 12, 2026 DET @ NYM 2 - 10
Sep 3, 2025 NYM @ DET 2 - 6
Sep 2, 2025 NYM @ DET 12 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
New York NYM
162
Games Played
162
4.46 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.241 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.320 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.400 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.395
.720 ▲
OPS
.705
181
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +37.0% more
Detroit: 0.7 vs New York: 0.3
Errors (L5) +35.2% more
Detroit: 1.1 vs New York: 0.7
Total Bases (L5) +18.1% more
Detroit: 13.2 vs New York: 10.8
Walks (L5) +12.1% more
Detroit: 4.0 vs New York: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 7.0 2
NYM Score 5.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 1.1 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.8 / 8.1 7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 0.3 / 0.7 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 9.4 / 8.0 10.0 / 12.0
Total Bases 10.8 / 13.2 7.0 / 9.0
Walks 3.6 / 4.0 5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
5%MONEY95%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
NYM
74-88-0 (45.7%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYM
DET
NYM
DET
ML
50% 79-80
54% 86-73
48% 76-83
54% 87-73
ATS
58% 93-66
64% 101-58
49% 78-81
57% 91-69
TTL
55% 80-66-13
46% 69-81-9
51% 74-72-13
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Yankees and Braves Urged to Cut Ties with Underperforming Stars …
si 47 minutes ago
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…
yahoo 6 hours, 35 minutes ago
Yankees' Offseason Blueprint: Securing Bednar and Blackburn Key …
yahoo 6 hours, 45 minutes ago
Yankees' Faithful Boo as Another Season Ends in Disappointment: …
bleacherreport 6 hours, 50 minutes ago
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
newsweek 18 hours, 34 minutes ago