CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
52-30 | Road
117
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
60-22 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
PISTONS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
CLE By 1-7 points
26.2%
CLE By 8-14 points
16.9%
DET By 1-7 points
24.3%
DET By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
115
CLEVELAND
Detroit
114
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Cleveland
102
CLEVELAND
Detroit
118
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (+4)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o211.5
Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Sim
u211.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 17, 2026
CLE @ DET
125 - 94
May 15, 2026
DET @ CLE
115 - 94
May 13, 2026
CLE @ DET
117 - 113
May 11, 2026
DET @ CLE
103 - 112
May 9, 2026
DET @ CLE
109 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+31.4% more
Cleveland: 6.6
vs
Detroit: 4.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.8%
Cleveland: 79.1%
vs
Detroit: 77.4%
Steals (L5)
+32.0% more
Detroit: 10.1
vs
Cleveland: 7.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.8%
Detroit: 40.8%
vs
Cleveland: 33.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
115.0
117
DET Score
114.0
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.8 / 33.1
33.0 / 40.0
Assists
22.8 / 22.2
28.0 / 25.0
Blocks
4.5 / 6.6
10.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 47.3
44.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
77.4 / 79.1
90.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
40.4 / 37.7
40.0 / 44.0
Steals
10.1 / 7.6
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
16.3 / 15.3
15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CLE
DET
CLE
ML
55%
64-53
60%
69-46
49%
47-49
56%
55-44
ATS
53%
60-54-3
67%
75-37-3
49%
47-49
56%
55-44
TTL
60%
70-46-1
59%
68-47
100%
96-0
100%
99-0
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