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MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

46-24-12  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, May 13 • 8:00 PM ET
Ball Arena
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

55-16-11  |  Home

4
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
0%
📊
AVALANCHE
100%
WILD --
AVALANCHE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Minnesota)
WildMIN (-3.5) 0 AvalancheCOL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wild Cover

84.1%

Avalanche Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MIN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1 goal

17.5%

MIN By 2-3 goals

37.2%

COL By 1 goal

6.6%

COL By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
MINNESOTA
1
COLORADO
Simulated Score
2
MINNESOTA
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wild Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Avalanche Win
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wild (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Avalanche (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 13, 2026 MIN @ COL 3 - 4
May 11, 2026 COL @ MIN 5 - 2
May 9, 2026 COL @ MIN 1 - 5
May 5, 2026 MIN @ COL 2 - 5
May 3, 2026 MIN @ COL 6 - 9
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +25.1% more
Minnesota: 13.1 vs Colorado: 9.8
Shots on Goal (L5) +18.4% more
Minnesota: 37.7 vs Colorado: 30.8
Hits (L5) +14.4% more
Minnesota: 31.7 vs Colorado: 27.1
Power Play % (L5) +1.6%
Minnesota: 2.2% vs Colorado: 0.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 3.0 3
COL Score 1.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
14%MONEY86%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
73%MONEY27%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
MIN
COL
MIN
ML
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
ATS
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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