Home / MLB Projections MLB / Giants @ Dodgers SF @ LAD

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

17-24  |  Road

6
FINAL
Tue, May 12 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

24-17  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Sam Hentges
STARTING PITCHER

Sam Hentges

#31 | Relief Pitcher
@
Jack Dreyer
STARTING PITCHER

Jack Dreyer

#86 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Sam Hentges None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 2
Jack Dreyer None-None 2.18 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 Ldr ERA 2.18
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
2 K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
100%
📊
DODGERS
0%
GIANTS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Los Angeles)
GiantsSF (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

30.9%

Dodgers Cover

69.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

SF By 1-2 runs

13.6%

SF By 3-4 runs

7.8%

LAD By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAD By 3-4 runs

18.4%

AI Model Projected Score
3
SAN FRANCISCO
5
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
4
SAN FRANCISCO
7
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Dodgers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim Dodgers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u8.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim o8.5 Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 LAD @ SF 5 - 1
Sep 26, 2026 LAD @ SF 4 - 3
Sep 25, 2026 LAD @ SF 2 - 0
Sep 20, 2026 SF @ LAD 1 - 3
Sep 19, 2026 SF @ LAD 4 - 10
Season Statistics Comparison
San Francisco SF
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.13
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.306
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.706
OPS
▲ .762
178
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season) +19.6% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs San Francisco: 4.1
Home Runs (Season) +14.6% more
Los Angeles: 204.0 vs San Francisco: 178.0
OPS (Season) +5.6%
Los Angeles: 76.2% vs San Francisco: 70.6%
On-Base Pct (Season) +3.2%
Los Angeles: 33.8% vs San Francisco: 30.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SF Score 3.0 6
LAD Score 5.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.8 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.2 / 10.2 4.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 1.1 / 1.0 1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 8.4 / 7.9 11.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 11.9 / 15.8 8.0 / 21.0
Walks 3.3 / 4.7 1.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
4%MONEY96%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
SF
LAD
SF
ML
56% 92-73
49% 79-81
48% 79-87
53% 85-75
ATS
59% 98-67
62% 100-60
43% 72-94
52% 83-77
TTL
48% 77-82-6
55% 82-68-10
44% 70-90-6
46% 68-81-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
si 58 minutes ago
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
sportingnews 6 hours, 48 minutes ago
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
hawaiitribune_herald 12 hours, 54 minutes ago
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
headtopics 18 hours, 58 minutes ago
Alex Cora Joins Growing List of Unavailable Managers for Seattle…
si 1 day, 6 hours ago