Home / NHL Projections NHL / Avalanche @ Wild COL @ MIN

COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

55-16-11  |  Road

5
FINAL
Mon, May 11 • 8:00 PM ET
Grand Casino Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

46-24-12  |  Home

2
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
📊
WILD
0%
AVALANCHE --
WILD --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Minnesota)
AvalancheCOL (-3.5) 0 WildMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Avalanche Cover

15.9%

Wild Cover

84.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

COL By 1 goal

6.6%

COL By 2-3 goals

3.7%

MIN By 1 goal

17.5%

MIN By 2-3 goals

37.2%

AI Model Projected Score
1
COLORADO
3
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
2
COLORADO
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wild Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wild Loss
50% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wild (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Wild (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 13, 2026 MIN @ COL 3 - 4
May 11, 2026 COL @ MIN 5 - 2
May 9, 2026 COL @ MIN 1 - 5
May 5, 2026 MIN @ COL 2 - 5
May 3, 2026 MIN @ COL 6 - 9
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +33.9% more
Minnesota: 33.0 vs Colorado: 24.6
Blocked Shots (L5) +33.5% more
Minnesota: 13.1 vs Colorado: 9.8
Shots on Goal (L5) +22.5% more
Minnesota: 37.7 vs Colorado: 30.8
Power Play % (L5) +1.6%
Minnesota: 2.2% vs Colorado: 0.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 1.0 5
MIN Score 3.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
87%MONEY13%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
63%MONEY37%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
COL
MIN
COL
ML
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
The Unexpected Cornerback the Steelers Regret Losing
si 1 hour, 41 minutes ago
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 7 hours, 41 minutes ago
Canadiens Accused of Showcasing Kirby Dach as Trade Rumors Swirl
yardbarker 7 hours, 52 minutes ago
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
Juszczyk Wins Appeal, Padres Stay Alive, Messi Bids Farewell in …
rutlandherald 1 day, 7 hours ago