Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ Blue Jays LAA @ TOR

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

15-25  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sun, May 10 • 1:37 PM ET
Rogers Centre
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

BLUE JAYSTOR

18-21  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Sam Bachman
STARTING PITCHER

Sam Bachman

#40 | Relief Pitcher
@
Spencer Miles
STARTING PITCHER

Spencer Miles

#62 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Sam Bachman None-None 3.32 -- 0.1 --
Spencer Miles None-None 3.00 -- 3.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
3.32 ERA Ldr 3.00
-- WHIP --
0.1 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 3.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
0%
📊
BLUE JAYS
100%
ANGELS --
BLUE JAYS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 Blue JaysTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

40.1%

Blue Jays Cover

59.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TOR +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

16.3%

TOR By 1-2 runs

16.3%

TOR By 3-4 runs

10.6%

AI Model Projected Score
6
LOS ANGELES
5
TORONTO
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
6
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Angels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Jays Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Jays (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim Blue Jays (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o8.0 Loss
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim o8.0 Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 10, 2026 LAA @ TOR 6 - 1
May 9, 2026 LAA @ TOR 1 - 14
May 8, 2026 LAA @ TOR 0 - 2
Apr 22, 2026 TOR @ LAA 3 - 7
Apr 21, 2026 TOR @ LAA 4 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Toronto TOR
162
Games Played
162
4.04 ▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .247
.310
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .381
.679
OPS
▲ .692
154 ▲
Home Runs
152
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +53.5% more
Los Angeles: 4.2 vs Toronto: 1.9
Errors (L5) +27.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.8 vs Toronto: 0.5
Home Runs (L5) +83.0% more
Toronto: 1.3 vs Los Angeles: 0.5
Total Bases (L5) +39.0% more
Toronto: 15.8 vs Los Angeles: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 6.0 6
TOR Score 5.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 0.8 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 10.6 / 7.9 5.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 0.5 0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts 7.8 / 6.8 6.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 15.8 / 11.4 6.0 / 19.0
Walks 1.9 / 4.2 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
52%MONEY48%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
25%TICKETS75%
55%MONEY45%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
63%MONEY37%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
TOR Advantage
79-83-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
LAA
TOR
LAA
ML
46% 74-87
59% 96-66
50% 80-80
55% 89-73
ATS
56% 90-71
60% 97-65
49% 79-81
51% 82-80
TTL
51% 80-76-5
53% 83-74-5
45% 70-85-5
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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