Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ 76ers NY @ PHI

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

53-29  |  Road

144
FINAL
Sun, May 10 • 3:30 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

45-37  |  Home

114
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
76ERS
100%
KNICKS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

96.4%

76ers Cover

3.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

10.7%

NY By 8-14 points

21.6%

PHI By 1-7 points

2.7%

PHI By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
119
NEW YORK
101
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
100
NEW YORK
105
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (+2) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim 76ers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o214.5 Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Sim u214.5 Win
Proj Total: 205.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 10, 2026 NY @ PHI 144 - 114
May 8, 2026 NY @ PHI 108 - 94
May 6, 2026 PHI @ NY 102 - 108
May 4, 2026 PHI @ NY 98 - 137
Feb 11, 2026 NY @ PHI 138 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +29.0% more
New York: 8.8 vs Philadelphia: 6.3
Assists (L5) +21.3% more
New York: 26.9 vs Philadelphia: 21.2
Rebounding (L5) +16.3% more
New York: 43.8 vs Philadelphia: 36.7
Blocks (L5) +12.6% more
New York: 4.1 vs Philadelphia: 3.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 119.0 144
PHI Score 101.0 114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 35.8 23.0 / 57.0
Assists 21.2 / 26.9 24.0 / 33.0
Blocks 3.6 / 4.1 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.1 / 53.1 50.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 80.4 / 76.2 71.0 / 72.0
Rebounding 36.7 / 43.8 30.0 / 47.0
Steals 6.3 / 8.8 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 13.7 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
80%MONEY20%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NY
PHI
NY
ML
63% 69-40
61% 114-72
48% 45-48
56% 57-45
ATS
65% 71-38
67% 124-62
48% 45-48
56% 57-45
TTL
55% 60-49
72% 133-53
100% 93-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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