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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

53-22-7  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, May 9 • 6:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

43-27-12  |  Home

2
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
📊
FLYERS
100%
HURRICANES --
FLYERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Carolina)
HurricanesCAR (-3.5) 0 FlyersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

97.7%

Flyers Cover

2.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

CAR By 1 goal

6.6%

CAR By 2-3 goals

29.6%

PHI By 1 goal

0.9%

PHI By 2-3 goals

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5
CAROLINA
1
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
2
CAROLINA
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flyers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -4.0
D
Sim Flyers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 CAR @ PHI 3 - 2
May 9, 2026 CAR @ PHI 3 - 2
May 7, 2026 CAR @ PHI 4 - 1
May 4, 2026 PHI @ CAR 2 - 3
May 2, 2026 PHI @ CAR 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +30.8% more
Carolina: 31.3 vs Philadelphia: 21.7
Faceoff % (L5) +5.9%
Carolina: 53.1% vs Philadelphia: 47.2%
Blocked Shots (L5) +35.1% more
Philadelphia: 14.7 vs Carolina: 10.9
Hits (L5) +24.6% more
Philadelphia: 42.4 vs Carolina: 34.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 5.0 3
PHI Score 1.0 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
65%MONEY35%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
85%MONEY15%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
68%MONEY32%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CAR
PHI
CAR
ML
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
ATS
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
TTL
20% 1-4
0% 0-5
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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