DETROIT
PISTONSDET
60-22 | Road
109
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
52-30 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
CAVALIERS
100%
PISTONS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-7 points
8.0%
DET By 8-14 points
18.6%
CLE By 1-7 points
1.7%
CLE By 8-14 points
0.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
115
DETROIT
Cleveland
95
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Detroit
101
DETROIT
Cleveland
114
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pistons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pistons (-5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u213.0
Loss
Proj Total: 210.0
D
Sim
u213.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 17, 2026
CLE @ DET
125 - 94
May 15, 2026
DET @ CLE
115 - 94
May 13, 2026
CLE @ DET
117 - 113
May 11, 2026
DET @ CLE
103 - 112
May 9, 2026
DET @ CLE
109 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+19.1% more
Detroit: 9.1
vs
Cleveland: 7.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.8%
Detroit: 41.6%
vs
Cleveland: 29.9%
Blocks (L5)
+9.6% more
Detroit: 6.0
vs
Cleveland: 5.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
Detroit: 46.6%
vs
Cleveland: 44.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
115.0
109
CLE Score
95.0
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.9 / 41.6
38.0 / 36.0
Assists
21.6 / 22.5
22.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.4 / 6.0
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 46.6
58.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
80.1 / 76.8
64.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
43.5 / 44.6
33.0 / 40.0
Steals
7.4 / 9.1
3.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
15.7 / 13.7
15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
CLE
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
DET
CLE
DET
ML
60%
69-46
55%
64-53
56%
55-44
49%
47-49
ATS
67%
75-37-3
53%
60-54-3
56%
55-44
49%
47-49
TTL
59%
68-47
60%
70-46-1
100%
99-0
100%
96-0
Contextual Game News
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
Jalen Duren Returns to Pistons Camp, Impressing with Speed and E…
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…
Providence Basketball Awaits NCAA Eligibility Verdicts for Dink …