MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
16-22 | Road
4
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
20-19 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Yoendrys Gomez
#94 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Cade Smith
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoendrys Gomez | None-None | 6.11 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
| Cade Smith | None-None | 3.44 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.11
ERA
Ldr 3.44
--
WHIP
--
0.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
100%
GUARDIANS
0%
TWINS
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CLE -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
MIN By 1-2 runs
10.6%
MIN By 3-4 runs
5.4%
CLE By 1-2 runs
18.4%
CLE By 3-4 runs
19.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Cleveland
6
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Cleveland
6
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Guardians
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Guardians
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Guardians (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Sim
Guardians (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
CLE @ MIN
9 - 2
Sep 12, 2026
CLE @ MIN
3 - 4
Sep 11, 2026
CLE @ MIN
5 - 2
Jul 23, 2026
MIN @ CLE
3 - 1
Jul 22, 2026
MIN @ CLE
10 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Cleveland
CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.720
▲
OPS
.696
187
▲
Home Runs
162
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+19.4% more
Cleveland: 7.8
vs
Minnesota: 6.6
Total Bases (L5)
+13.6% more
Minnesota: 13.9
vs
Cleveland: 12.0
Home Runs (Season)
+13.4% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Cleveland: 162.0
Home Runs (L5)
+9.0% more
Minnesota: 0.9
vs
Cleveland: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.0
4
CLE Score
6.0
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.1
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.9 / 8.3
8.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 0.9
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.8 / 6.6
11.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
12.0 / 13.9
12.0 / 18.0
Walks
4.1 / 3.9
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
MIN
CLE
MIN
ML
54%
87-74
52%
84-78
49%
80-82
50%
80-81
ATS
58%
93-68
59%
95-67
59%
95-67
59%
95-66
TTL
55%
88-71-2
51%
78-75-9
43%
69-90-2
53%
80-72-9
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