LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
15-23 | Road
0
TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
16-21 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jose Fermin
#65 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Louis Varland
#77 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Fermin | None-None | 1.50 | -- | 1.1 | 2 |
| Louis Varland | None-None | 0.46 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.50
ERA
Ldr 0.46
--
WHIP
--
1.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
0%
BLUE JAYS
100%
ANGELS
--
BLUE JAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
LAA By 1-2 runs
16.3%
LAA By 3-4 runs
19.6%
TOR By 1-2 runs
7.8%
TOR By 3-4 runs
3.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
7
LOS ANGELES
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Angels
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Angels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Angels (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Sim
Angels (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 10, 2026
LAA @ TOR
6 - 1
May 9, 2026
LAA @ TOR
1 - 14
May 8, 2026
LAA @ TOR
0 - 2
Apr 22, 2026
TOR @ LAA
3 - 7
Apr 21, 2026
TOR @ LAA
4 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Toronto
TOR
162
Games Played
162
4.04
▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.310
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.381
.679
OPS
▲
.692
154
▲
Home Runs
152
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+43.5% more
Los Angeles: 9.3
vs
Toronto: 5.3
Home Runs (L5)
+34.5% more
Los Angeles: 1.2
vs
Toronto: 0.8
Walks (L5)
+30.1% more
Los Angeles: 4.1
vs
Toronto: 2.9
Total Bases (L5)
+14.1% more
Los Angeles: 12.6
vs
Toronto: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
7.0
0
TOR Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.5
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.4 / 7.3
3.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.2
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
5.3 / 9.3
11.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
10.8 / 12.6
3.0 / 8.0
Walks
2.9 / 4.1
0.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
TOR
Advantage
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
LAA
TOR
LAA
ML
46%
74-87
59%
96-66
50%
80-80
55%
89-73
ATS
56%
90-71
60%
97-65
49%
79-81
51%
82-80
TTL
51%
80-76-5
53%
83-74-5
45%
70-85-5
52%
82-75-5
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