COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
55-16-11 | Road
1
MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
46-24-12 | Home
5
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
WILD
0%
AVALANCHE
--
WILD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MIN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
COL By 1 goal
6.6%
COL By 2-3 goals
3.7%
MIN By 1 goal
17.5%
MIN By 2-3 goals
37.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
1
COLORADO
Minnesota
3
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Colorado
2
COLORADO
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wild
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wild
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wild (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Wild (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Push
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 13, 2026
MIN @ COL
3 - 4
May 11, 2026
COL @ MIN
5 - 2
May 9, 2026
COL @ MIN
1 - 5
May 5, 2026
MIN @ COL
2 - 5
May 3, 2026
MIN @ COL
6 - 9
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+33.5% more
Minnesota: 13.1
vs
Colorado: 9.8
Hits (L5)
+22.5% more
Minnesota: 30.0
vs
Colorado: 24.5
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.5% more
Minnesota: 37.7
vs
Colorado: 30.8
Power Play % (L5)
+1.6%
Minnesota: 2.2%
vs
Colorado: 0.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
1.0
1
MIN Score
3.0
5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
COL
MIN
COL
ML
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
ATS
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
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