NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
53-29 | Road
108
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
45-37 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
76ERS
100%
KNICKS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
24.3%
NY By 8-14 points
26.8%
PHI By 1-7 points
12.2%
PHI By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
116
NEW YORK
Philadelphia
107
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
New York
108
NEW YORK
Philadelphia
112
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o213.5
Loss
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim
u213.5
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 10, 2026
NY @ PHI
144 - 114
May 8, 2026
NY @ PHI
108 - 94
May 6, 2026
PHI @ NY
102 - 108
May 4, 2026
PHI @ NY
98 - 137
Feb 11, 2026
NY @ PHI
138 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+42.5% more
New York: 10.2
vs
Philadelphia: 5.9
Assists (L5)
+27.2% more
New York: 27.8
vs
Philadelphia: 20.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.1%
New York: 54.7%
vs
Philadelphia: 44.6%
Turnovers (L5)
+13.1% more
Philadelphia: 14.8
vs
New York: 13.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
116.0
108
PHI Score
107.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 37.2
28.0 / 33.0
Assists
20.2 / 27.8
23.0 / 25.0
Blocks
3.9 / 4.2
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 54.7
43.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
80.1 / 78.2
81.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
38.5 / 41.2
33.0 / 49.0
Steals
5.9 / 10.2
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 13.1
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NY
PHI
NY
ML
63%
69-40
61%
114-72
48%
45-48
56%
57-45
ATS
65%
71-38
67%
124-62
48%
45-48
56%
57-45
TTL
55%
60-49
72%
133-53
100%
93-0
100%
102-0
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