ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
18-18 | Road
12
PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIESPHI
17-20 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
J.T. Ginn
#35 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jonathan Bowlan
#52 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Ginn | None-None | 3.62 | -- | 8.0 | 8 |
| Jonathan Bowlan | None-None | 7.45 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.62 Ldr
ERA
7.45
--
WHIP
--
8.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
8 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
0%
PHILLIES
100%
ATHLETICS
--
PHILLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
ATH By 1-2 runs
16.3%
ATH By 3-4 runs
19.6%
PHI By 1-2 runs
7.8%
PHI By 3-4 runs
3.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
7
ATHLETICS
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Philadelphia
6
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Athletics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Phillies
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Athletics (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Sim
Phillies (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o9.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 7, 2026
ATH @ PHI
12 - 1
May 6, 2026
ATH @ PHI
3 - 6
May 5, 2026
ATH @ PHI
1 - 9
May 25, 2025
PHI @ ATH
4 - 5
May 24, 2025
PHI @ ATH
9 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Philadelphia
PHI
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
3.50
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.286
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.438
.719
OPS
▲
.724
194
▲
Home Runs
3
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+98.5% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Philadelphia: 3.0
Errors (L5)
+24.0% more
Athletics: 0.4
vs
Philadelphia: 0.2
Runs per Game (Season)
+18.8% more
Athletics: 4.3
vs
Philadelphia: 3.5
On-Base Pct (Season)
+3.1%
Athletics: 31.7%
vs
Philadelphia: 28.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
7.0
12
PHI Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.5 / 8.1
6.0 / 13.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 1.1
1.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts
9.3 / 6.4
7.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
17.3 / 12.9
9.0 / 28.0
Walks
3.0 / 3.0
5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
PHI
Advantage
89-76-0
(53.9%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
ATH
PHI
ATH
ML
59%
97-67
59%
95-67
49%
80-84
54%
87-74
ATS
65%
107-57
52%
84-78
51%
83-81
50%
81-80
TTL
57%
88-67-9
54%
84-73-5
51%
78-76-9
42%
66-90-5
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