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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

17-19  |  Road

2
FINAL
Wed, May 6 • 4:07 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

14-23  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
Grant Taylor
STARTING PITCHER

Grant Taylor

#31 | Relief Pitcher
@
Walbert Urena
STARTING PITCHER

Walbert Urena

#57 | Starting Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Grant Taylor None-None 2.55 -- 1.0 1
Walbert Urena None-None 3.22 -- 6.0 5
None-None W-L None-None
2.55 Ldr ERA 3.22
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 6.0
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
100%
📊
ANGELS
0%
WHITE SOX --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Los Angeles)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

15.9%

Angels Cover

84.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

CHW By 1-2 runs

7.8%

CHW By 3-4 runs

3.5%

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

19.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4
CHICAGO
8
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
5
CHICAGO
3
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Angels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Angels (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -4.0
D
Sim White Sox (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o9.0 Win
Proj Total: 12.0
D
Sim u9.0 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 6, 2026 CHW @ LAA 2 - 8
May 5, 2026 CHW @ LAA 3 - 4
May 4, 2026 CHW @ LAA 6 - 0
Apr 29, 2026 LAA @ CHW 2 - 3
Apr 28, 2026 LAA @ CHW 2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Los Angeles LAA
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.412 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.826 ▲
OPS
.679
1
Home Runs
▲ 154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +15300.0% more
Los Angeles: 154.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Walks (L5) +97.8% more
Los Angeles: 3.6 vs Chicago: 1.8
Errors (L5) +78.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.8 vs Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season) +32.7% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 4.0 2
LAA Score 8.0 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.0 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 6.9 / 9.5 8.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 1.4 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 9.0 / 8.6 10.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 11.9 / 14.5 14.0 / 5.0
Walks 3.6 / 1.8 5.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
80%MONEY20%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
73%MONEY27%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
CHW
LAA
CHW
ML
59% 96-66
49% 81-86
55% 89-73
56% 94-73
ATS
60% 97-65
59% 99-68
51% 82-80
56% 93-74
TTL
53% 83-74-5
58% 96-69-2
52% 82-75-5
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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