CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
52-30 | Road
97
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
60-22 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
PISTONS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
CLE By 1-7 points
26.2%
CLE By 8-14 points
16.9%
DET By 1-7 points
24.3%
DET By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
113
CLEVELAND
Detroit
112
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Cleveland
102
CLEVELAND
Detroit
115
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o215.5
Loss
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim
u215.5
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 17, 2026
CLE @ DET
125 - 94
May 15, 2026
DET @ CLE
115 - 94
May 13, 2026
CLE @ DET
117 - 113
May 11, 2026
DET @ CLE
103 - 112
May 9, 2026
DET @ CLE
109 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+22.6% more
Cleveland: 18.1
vs
Detroit: 14.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+1.8%
Cleveland: 79.6%
vs
Detroit: 77.8%
Blocks (L5)
+26.5% more
Detroit: 6.4
vs
Cleveland: 5.1
Steals (L5)
+21.1% more
Detroit: 9.2
vs
Cleveland: 7.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
113.0
97
DET Score
112.0
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 33.8
50.0 / 22.0
Assists
23.2 / 22.4
21.0 / 20.0
Blocks
6.4 / 5.1
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 45.6
49.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
77.8 / 79.6
75.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
45.9 / 47.2
42.0 / 36.0
Steals
9.2 / 7.6
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.0 / 18.1
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CLE
DET
CLE
ML
55%
64-53
60%
69-46
49%
47-49
56%
55-44
ATS
53%
60-54-3
67%
75-37-3
49%
47-49
56%
55-44
TTL
60%
70-46-1
59%
68-47
100%
96-0
100%
99-0
Contextual Game News
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
Jalen Duren Returns to Pistons Camp, Impressing with Speed and E…
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…
Providence Basketball Awaits NCAA Eligibility Verdicts for Dink …