MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
49-33 | Road
95
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
62-20 | Home
133
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
SPURS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+8.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA +8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
MIN By 1-7 points
25.3%
MIN By 8-14 points
26.2%
SA By 1-7 points
13.7%
SA By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
116
MINNESOTA
San Antonio
108
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
102
MINNESOTA
San Antonio
115
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (+10)
Win
Proj Spread: +8.0
D
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o217.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Sim
u217.5
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 15, 2026
SA @ MIN
139 - 109
May 12, 2026
MIN @ SA
97 - 126
May 10, 2026
SA @ MIN
109 - 114
May 8, 2026
SA @ MIN
115 - 108
May 6, 2026
MIN @ SA
95 - 133
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+12.2% more
Minnesota: 12.2
vs
San Antonio: 10.7
Blocks (L5)
+136.2% more
San Antonio: 9.7
vs
Minnesota: 4.1
Turnovers (L5)
+9.2% more
San Antonio: 14.6
vs
Minnesota: 13.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.7%
San Antonio: 76.8%
vs
Minnesota: 71.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
116.0
95
SA Score
108.0
133
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.2 / 34.6
41.0 / 30.0
Assists
25.4 / 24.0
29.0 / 19.0
Blocks
9.7 / 4.1
9.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 47.0
50.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
76.8 / 71.1
82.0 / 52.0
Rebounding
44.9 / 46.2
55.0 / 43.0
Steals
6.5 / 6.9
13.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 13.4
16.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 12.6
ATS +/-: +12.5
SA
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: -3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
Advantage
4-1-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 12.6
ATS +/-: +12.5
SA
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: -3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -4.9
SA
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0%
Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
MIN
SA
MIN
ML
60%
3-2
20%
1-4
40%
2-3
60%
3-2
ATS
40%
2-3
60%
3-2
20%
1-4
20%
1-4
TTL
80%
4-1
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
40%
2-3
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