MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
49-33 | Road
95
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
62-20 | Home
133
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
SPURS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+8.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA +8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
MIN By 1-7 points
25.3%
MIN By 8-14 points
26.2%
SA By 1-7 points
13.7%
SA By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
116
MINNESOTA
San Antonio
108
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
102
MINNESOTA
San Antonio
115
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (+10)
Win
Proj Spread: +8.0
D
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o217.5
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Sim
u217.5
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 15, 2026
SA @ MIN
139 - 109
May 12, 2026
MIN @ SA
97 - 126
May 10, 2026
SA @ MIN
109 - 114
May 8, 2026
SA @ MIN
115 - 108
May 6, 2026
MIN @ SA
95 - 133
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+136.2% more
San Antonio: 9.7
vs
Minnesota: 4.1
Turnovers (L5)
+9.2% more
San Antonio: 14.6
vs
Minnesota: 13.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.7%
San Antonio: 76.8%
vs
Minnesota: 71.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
San Antonio: 36.2%
vs
Minnesota: 34.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
116.0
95
SA Score
108.0
133
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.2 / 34.6
41.0 / 30.0
Assists
25.4 / 24.0
29.0 / 19.0
Blocks
9.7 / 4.1
9.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 47.0
50.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
76.8 / 71.1
82.0 / 52.0
Rebounding
44.9 / 46.2
55.0 / 43.0
Steals
6.5 / 6.9
13.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 13.4
16.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
MIN
SA
MIN
ML
60%
111-73
54%
63-53
58%
61-44
54%
50-43
ATS
58%
107-76-1
58%
67-49
58%
61-44
54%
50-43
TTL
74%
134-47-3
63%
72-43-1
100%
105-0
100%
93-0
Contextual Game News
Luka Doncic Opens Up About Heartbreaking Season Away From His Da…
LeBron James Impresses in 76ers Preseason Debut Against Nets
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Takes Blame for Thunder's Game 7 Loss, B…