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ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

43-33-6  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, May 6 • 9:30 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

39-26-17  |  Home

1
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
0%
📊
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
100%
DUCKS --
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Anaheim)
DucksANA (-3.5) 0 Golden KnightsVGK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ducks Cover

84.1%

Golden Knights Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

ANA By 1 goal

17.5%

ANA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

VGK By 1 goal

6.6%

VGK By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
ANAHEIM
1
VEGAS
Simulated Score
2
ANAHEIM
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Ducks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Knights Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ducks (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Golden Knights (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 2, 2026 ANA @ VGK 4 - 3
May 14, 2026 VGK @ ANA 5 - 1
May 10, 2026 VGK @ ANA 3 - 4
May 8, 2026 VGK @ ANA 6 - 2
May 6, 2026 ANA @ VGK 3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +21.9%
Vegas: 22.6% vs Anaheim: 0.7%
Faceoff % (L5) +5.9%
Vegas: 53.3% vs Anaheim: 47.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ANA Score 3.0 3
VGK Score 1.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
74%MONEY26%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
63%MONEY37%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
ANA
VGK
ANA
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
ATS
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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