ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
18-16 | Road
1
PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIESPHI
15-20 | Home
9
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Soderstrom
#21 | Left Field@
STARTING PITCHER
Jhoan Duran
#59 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Soderstrom | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Jhoan Duran | None-None | 2.35 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
2.35
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
0%
PHILLIES
100%
ATHLETICS
--
PHILLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.6%
ATH By 3-4 runs
18.4%
PHI By 1-2 runs
13.6%
PHI By 3-4 runs
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
6
ATHLETICS
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Athletics
6
ATHLETICS
Philadelphia
3
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Athletics
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Athletics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Athletics (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Athletics (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o9.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Sim
u9.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 7, 2026
ATH @ PHI
12 - 1
May 6, 2026
ATH @ PHI
3 - 6
May 5, 2026
ATH @ PHI
1 - 9
May 25, 2025
PHI @ ATH
4 - 5
May 24, 2025
PHI @ ATH
9 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Philadelphia
PHI
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
3.50
.245
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.286
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.438
.719
OPS
▲
.724
194
▲
Home Runs
3
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+98.5% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Philadelphia: 3.0
Walks (L5)
+60.5% more
Athletics: 4.6
vs
Philadelphia: 1.8
Home Runs (L5)
+54.0% more
Athletics: 1.8
vs
Philadelphia: 0.8
Total Bases (L5)
+33.9% more
Athletics: 18.0
vs
Philadelphia: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
6.0
1
PHI Score
4.0
9
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.6 / 11.0
14.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.8
3.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.0 / 7.0
12.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
11.9 / 18.0
27.0 / 4.0
Walks
1.8 / 4.6
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
PHI
Advantage
89-76-0
(53.9%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
ATH
PHI
ATH
ML
59%
97-67
59%
95-67
49%
80-84
54%
87-74
ATS
65%
107-57
52%
84-78
51%
83-81
50%
81-80
TTL
57%
88-67-9
54%
84-73-5
51%
78-76-9
42%
66-90-5
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