PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
45-37 | Road
102
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
53-29 | Home
108
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
KNICKS
0%
76ERS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
PHI By 1-7 points
16.9%
PHI By 8-14 points
6.8%
NY By 1-7 points
26.8%
NY By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
110
PHILADELPHIA
New York
116
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
107
PHILADELPHIA
New York
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o213.0
Loss
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Sim
u213.0
Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 10, 2026
NY @ PHI
144 - 114
May 8, 2026
NY @ PHI
108 - 94
May 6, 2026
PHI @ NY
102 - 108
May 4, 2026
PHI @ NY
98 - 137
Feb 11, 2026
NY @ PHI
138 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+114.1% more
New York: 10.3
vs
Philadelphia: 4.8
Blocks (L5)
+83.1% more
New York: 5.3
vs
Philadelphia: 2.9
Assists (L5)
+43.5% more
New York: 29.2
vs
Philadelphia: 20.4
Rebounding (L5)
+13.2% more
New York: 43.3
vs
Philadelphia: 38.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
110.0
102
NY Score
116.0
108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.4 / 36.0
27.0 / 38.0
Assists
29.2 / 20.4
25.0 / 20.0
Blocks
5.3 / 2.9
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
56.5 / 44.4
51.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
75.4 / 82.7
84.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
43.3 / 38.2
37.0 / 39.0
Steals
10.3 / 4.8
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 13.2
13.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
PHI
NY
PHI
ML
61%
114-72
63%
69-40
56%
57-45
48%
45-48
ATS
67%
124-62
65%
71-38
56%
57-45
48%
45-48
TTL
72%
133-53
55%
60-49
100%
102-0
100%
93-0
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