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PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

45-37  |  Road

102
FINAL
Wed, May 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

53-29  |  Home

108
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
76ERS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (New York)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

27.4%

Knicks Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

PHI By 1-7 points

16.9%

PHI By 8-14 points

6.8%

NY By 1-7 points

26.8%

NY By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
110
PHILADELPHIA
116
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
107
PHILADELPHIA
112
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knicks (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o213.0 Loss
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Sim u213.0 Win
Proj Total: 219.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 20, 2026 PHI @ NY 106 - 100
May 10, 2026 NY @ PHI 144 - 114
May 8, 2026 NY @ PHI 108 - 94
May 6, 2026 PHI @ NY 102 - 108
May 4, 2026 PHI @ NY 98 - 137
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +114.1% more
New York: 10.3 vs Philadelphia: 4.8
Blocks (L5) +83.8% more
New York: 5.3 vs Philadelphia: 2.9
Assists (L5) +43.5% more
New York: 29.2 vs Philadelphia: 20.4
Rebounding (L5) +13.2% more
New York: 43.3 vs Philadelphia: 38.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 110.0 102
NY Score 116.0 108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.4 / 36.0 27.0 / 38.0
Assists 29.2 / 20.4 25.0 / 20.0
Blocks 5.3 / 2.9 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 56.5 / 44.4 51.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 75.4 / 82.7 84.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 43.3 / 38.2 37.0 / 39.0
Steals 10.3 / 4.8 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 13.2 13.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
31%MONEY69%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: -0.1
NY
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -4.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: -0.1
NY
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: -4.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -15.1
NY
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -6.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
PHI
NY
PHI
ML
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
ATS
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
TTL
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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