CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
52-30 | Road
101
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
60-22 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
PISTONS
0%
CAVALIERS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
209.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
CLE By 1-7 points
6.8%
CLE By 8-14 points
1.7%
DET By 1-7 points
18.6%
DET By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
98
CLEVELAND
Detroit
111
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Cleveland
98
CLEVELAND
Detroit
110
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u216.0
Win
Proj Total: 209.0
D
Sim
u216.0
Win
Proj Total: 208.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 17, 2026
CLE @ DET
125 - 94
May 15, 2026
DET @ CLE
115 - 94
May 13, 2026
CLE @ DET
117 - 113
May 11, 2026
DET @ CLE
103 - 112
May 9, 2026
DET @ CLE
109 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+59.1% more
Detroit: 8.2
vs
Cleveland: 5.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.8%
Detroit: 78.1%
vs
Cleveland: 72.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.0%
Detroit: 37.2%
vs
Cleveland: 32.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+12.5% more
Cleveland: 17.2
vs
Detroit: 15.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
98.0
101
DET Score
111.0
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.2 / 32.2
38.0 / 37.0
Assists
23.3 / 22.1
23.0 / 23.0
Blocks
8.2 / 5.1
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
46.1 / 45.8
44.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
78.1 / 72.4
77.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
46.4 / 50.3
45.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.8 / 7.9
12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 17.2
12.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CLE
DET
CLE
ML
55%
64-53
60%
69-46
49%
47-49
56%
55-44
ATS
53%
60-54-3
67%
75-37-3
49%
47-49
56%
55-44
TTL
60%
70-46-1
59%
68-47
100%
96-0
100%
99-0
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