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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

16-18  |  Road

6
FINAL
Mon, May 4 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

13-22  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Sean Newcomb
STARTING PITCHER

Sean Newcomb

#15 | Relief Pitcher
@
Mitch Farris
STARTING PITCHER

Mitch Farris

#70 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Sean Newcomb None-None 3.60 -- 2.0 4
Mitch Farris None-None 2.25 -- 4.0 3
None-None W-L None-None
3.60 ERA Ldr 2.25
-- WHIP --
2.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 4.0
4 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 3
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
100%
📊
ANGELS
0%
WHITE SOX --
ANGELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

40.1%

Angels Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

CHW By 1-2 runs

16.3%

CHW By 3-4 runs

10.6%

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.6%

LAA By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
4
CHICAGO
5
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
5
CHICAGO
3
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Angels Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Angels (+1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim White Sox (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o7.5 Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim o7.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 6, 2026 CHW @ LAA 2 - 8
May 5, 2026 CHW @ LAA 3 - 4
May 4, 2026 CHW @ LAA 6 - 0
Apr 29, 2026 LAA @ CHW 2 - 3
Apr 28, 2026 LAA @ CHW 2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Los Angeles LAA
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.412 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.826 ▲
OPS
.679
1
Home Runs
▲ 154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +15300.0% more
Los Angeles: 154.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Walks (L5) +39.5% more
Los Angeles: 3.6 vs Chicago: 2.6
Errors (L5) +26.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.3 vs Chicago: 0.1
Home Runs (L5) +59.8% more
Chicago: 1.3 vs Los Angeles: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 4.0 6
LAA Score 5.0 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.1 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.8 / 7.4 5.0 / 16.0
Home Runs 0.5 / 1.3 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 9.0 / 8.6 9.0 / 14.0
Total Bases 10.5 / 12.2 7.0 / 23.0
Walks 3.6 / 2.6 3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
53%MONEY47%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
39%MONEY61%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
CHW
LAA
CHW
ML
59% 96-66
49% 81-86
55% 89-73
56% 94-73
ATS
60% 97-65
59% 99-68
51% 82-80
56% 93-74
TTL
53% 83-74-5
58% 96-69-2
52% 82-75-5
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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