MINNESOTA
TIMBERWOLVESMIN
49-33 | Road
104
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
62-20 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
SPURS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
MIN By 1-7 points
26.8%
MIN By 8-14 points
24.3%
SA By 1-7 points
16.9%
SA By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
115
MINNESOTA
San Antonio
109
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Minnesota
105
MINNESOTA
San Antonio
118
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (+10)
Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o219.5
Loss
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Sim
u219.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 15, 2026
SA @ MIN
139 - 109
May 12, 2026
MIN @ SA
97 - 126
May 10, 2026
SA @ MIN
109 - 114
May 8, 2026
SA @ MIN
115 - 108
May 6, 2026
MIN @ SA
95 - 133
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.0%
Minnesota: 78.1%
vs
San Antonio: 76.1%
Blocks (L5)
+106.5% more
San Antonio: 7.6
vs
Minnesota: 3.7
Steals (L5)
+12.9% more
San Antonio: 7.8
vs
Minnesota: 6.9
Turnovers (L5)
+9.9% more
San Antonio: 14.9
vs
Minnesota: 13.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
115.0
104
SA Score
109.0
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.3 / 32.8
28.0 / 38.0
Assists
26.1 / 26.1
24.0 / 20.0
Blocks
7.6 / 3.7
14.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
50.1 / 47.6
45.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
76.1 / 78.1
78.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
43.9 / 46.2
47.0 / 46.0
Steals
7.8 / 6.9
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 13.6
14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
MIN
SA
MIN
ML
60%
111-73
54%
63-53
58%
61-44
54%
50-43
ATS
58%
107-76-1
58%
67-49
58%
61-44
54%
50-43
TTL
74%
134-47-3
63%
72-43-1
100%
105-0
100%
93-0
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