Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Knicks PHI @ NY

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

45-37  |  Road

98
FINAL
Mon, May 4 • 8:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

53-29  |  Home

137
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
76ERS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

24.2%

Knicks Cover

75.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

PHI By 1-7 points

26.2%

PHI By 8-14 points

25.3%

NY By 1-7 points

15.3%

NY By 8-14 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
112
PHILADELPHIA
105
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
110
PHILADELPHIA
118
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knicks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knicks (+7.5) Win
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o214.0 Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Sim u214.0 Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 10, 2026 NY @ PHI 144 - 114
May 8, 2026 NY @ PHI 108 - 94
May 6, 2026 PHI @ NY 102 - 108
May 4, 2026 PHI @ NY 98 - 137
Feb 11, 2026 NY @ PHI 138 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +7.0%
Philadelphia: 84.6% vs New York: 77.5%
Steals (L5) +147.6% more
New York: 10.5 vs Philadelphia: 4.2
Blocks (L5) +28.8% more
New York: 5.0 vs Philadelphia: 3.9
Turnovers (L5) +18.3% more
New York: 12.2 vs Philadelphia: 10.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 112.0 98
NY Score 105.0 137
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.0 / 35.4 51.0 / 37.0
Assists 26.8 / 23.0 34.0 / 15.0
Blocks 5.0 / 3.9 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 53.3 / 46.1 63.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 77.5 / 84.6 71.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 45.5 / 43.4 39.0 / 28.0
Steals 10.5 / 4.2 10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 10.3 15.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
54%MONEY46%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
PHI
NY
PHI
ML
61% 114-72
63% 69-40
56% 57-45
48% 45-48
ATS
67% 124-62
65% 71-38
56% 57-45
48% 45-48
TTL
72% 133-53
55% 60-49
100% 102-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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