PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
45-37 | Road
98
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
53-29 | Home
137
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
0%
KNICKS
100%
76ERS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
PHI By 1-7 points
26.2%
PHI By 8-14 points
25.3%
NY By 1-7 points
15.3%
NY By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
112
PHILADELPHIA
New York
105
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
110
PHILADELPHIA
New York
118
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
76ers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o214.0
Win
Proj Total: 217.0
D
Sim
u214.0
Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 20, 2026
PHI @ NY
106 - 100
May 10, 2026
NY @ PHI
144 - 114
May 8, 2026
NY @ PHI
108 - 94
May 6, 2026
PHI @ NY
102 - 108
May 4, 2026
PHI @ NY
98 - 137
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+10.4% more
Philadelphia: 11.8
vs
New York: 10.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.0%
Philadelphia: 84.6%
vs
New York: 77.5%
Steals (L5)
+147.6% more
New York: 10.5
vs
Philadelphia: 4.2
Blocks (L5)
+29.6% more
New York: 5.0
vs
Philadelphia: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
112.0
98
NY Score
105.0
137
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.0 / 35.4
51.0 / 37.0
Assists
26.8 / 23.0
34.0 / 15.0
Blocks
5.0 / 3.9
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
53.3 / 46.1
63.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
77.5 / 84.6
71.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
45.5 / 43.4
39.0 / 28.0
Steals
10.5 / 4.2
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 10.3
15.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
Advantage
4-1-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -0.1
NY
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -4.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: -0.1
NY
1-4-0
(20.0%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -4.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0%
Total +/-: -15.1
NY
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0%
Total +/-: -6.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
PHI
NY
PHI
ML
40%
2-3
60%
3-2
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
ATS
20%
1-4
40%
2-3
80%
4-1
80%
4-1
TTL
80%
4-1
80%
4-1
60%
3-2
80%
4-1
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