ORLANDO
MAGICORL
45-37 | Road
94
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
60-22 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
PISTONS
0%
MAGIC
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
ORL By 1-7 points
20.1%
ORL By 8-14 points
9.3%
DET By 1-7 points
27.4%
DET By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
105
ORLANDO
Detroit
109
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Orlando
105
ORLANDO
Detroit
108
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o202.0
Win
Proj Total: 214.0
D
Sim
u202.0
Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 3, 2026
ORL @ DET
94 - 116
May 1, 2026
DET @ ORL
93 - 79
Apr 29, 2026
ORL @ DET
109 - 116
Apr 27, 2026
DET @ ORL
88 - 94
Apr 25, 2026
DET @ ORL
105 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+74.3% more
Detroit: 9.2
vs
Orlando: 5.3
Rebounding (L5)
+19.1% more
Detroit: 49.1
vs
Orlando: 41.2
Turnovers (L5)
+14.9% more
Detroit: 15.5
vs
Orlando: 13.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.6%
Detroit: 76.2%
vs
Orlando: 70.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
105.0
94
DET Score
109.0
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.8 / 32.3
48.0 / 33.0
Assists
20.0 / 20.2
30.0 / 18.0
Blocks
9.2 / 5.3
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
43.7 / 39.6
51.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
76.2 / 70.6
82.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
49.1 / 41.2
41.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.2 / 8.8
9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 13.5
14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -12.5
ATS +/-: -10.3
DET
Advantage
4-1-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +5.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -12.5
ATS +/-: -10.3
DET
Advantage
4-1-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +5.3
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -2.8
DET
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -10.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
ORL
DET
ORL
ML
100%
5-0
25%
1-3
100%
5-0
25%
1-3
ATS
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
100%
5-0
50%
2-2
TTL
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
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