Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ Pistons ORL @ DET

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

45-37  |  Road

94
FINAL
Sun, May 3 • 3:30 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

PISTONSDET

60-22  |  Home

116
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
📊
PISTONS
0%
MAGIC --
PISTONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Detroit)
MagicORL (-3.5) 0 PistonsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

34.5%

Pistons Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

ORL By 1-7 points

20.1%

ORL By 8-14 points

9.3%

DET By 1-7 points

27.4%

DET By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
105
ORLANDO
109
DETROIT
Simulated Score
105
ORLANDO
108
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Pistons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Pistons Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Pistons (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Pistons (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o202.0 Win
Proj Total: 214.0
D
Sim u202.0 Win
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 3, 2026 ORL @ DET 94 - 116
May 1, 2026 DET @ ORL 93 - 79
Apr 29, 2026 ORL @ DET 109 - 116
Apr 27, 2026 DET @ ORL 88 - 94
Apr 25, 2026 DET @ ORL 105 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +74.3% more
Detroit: 9.2 vs Orlando: 5.3
Rebounding (L5) +19.1% more
Detroit: 49.1 vs Orlando: 41.2
Turnovers (L5) +14.9% more
Detroit: 15.5 vs Orlando: 13.5
Free Throw % (L5) +5.6%
Detroit: 76.2% vs Orlando: 70.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 105.0 94
DET Score 109.0 116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 32.3 48.0 / 33.0
Assists 20.0 / 20.2 30.0 / 18.0
Blocks 9.2 / 5.3 6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 43.7 / 39.6 51.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 76.2 / 70.6 82.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 49.1 / 41.2 41.0 / 33.0
Steals 7.2 / 8.8 9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 15.5 / 13.5 14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
58%MONEY42%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
DET Advantage
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
ORL
DET
ORL
ML
55% 64-53
61% 65-42
49% 47-49
56% 51-40
ATS
53% 60-54-3
64% 68-38-1
49% 47-49
56% 51-40
TTL
60% 70-46-1
57% 61-46
100% 96-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 6 minutes ago
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…
headtopics 18 hours, 13 minutes ago
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…
yahoo 1 day ago
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…
actionnews5 1 day ago
Jalen Duren Returns to Pistons Camp, Impressing with Speed and E…
yahoo 1 day ago