CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
52-30 | Road
110
TORONTO
RAPTORSTOR
46-36 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
100%
RAPTORS
0%
CAVALIERS
--
RAPTORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
242.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOR -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
CLE By 1-7 points
8.0%
CLE By 8-14 points
2.2%
TOR By 1-7 points
20.1%
TOR By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
115
CLEVELAND
Toronto
127
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Cleveland
109
CLEVELAND
Toronto
115
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Raptors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Raptors
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Raptors (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Raptors (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o219.0
Win
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Sim
u219.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 3, 2026
TOR @ CLE
102 - 114
May 1, 2026
CLE @ TOR
110 - 112
Apr 29, 2026
TOR @ CLE
120 - 125
Apr 26, 2026
CLE @ TOR
89 - 93
Apr 23, 2026
CLE @ TOR
104 - 126
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+31.3% more
Toronto: 27.4
vs
Cleveland: 20.9
Steals (L5)
+14.5% more
Toronto: 8.9
vs
Cleveland: 7.7
Rebounding (L5)
+8.1% more
Toronto: 45.6
vs
Cleveland: 42.2
Turnovers (L5)
+14.7% more
Cleveland: 16.9
vs
Toronto: 14.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
115.0
110
TOR Score
127.0
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.3 / 38.0
36.0 / 27.0
Assists
27.4 / 20.9
27.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.8 / 5.8
9.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 47.8
46.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
70.3 / 73.1
83.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
45.6 / 42.2
38.0 / 52.0
Steals
8.9 / 7.7
13.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 16.9
16.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
TOR
49-40-0
(55.1%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
TOR
Advantage
46-43-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
CLE
TOR
CLE
ML
55%
57-47
60%
69-46
55%
48-39
56%
55-44
ATS
61%
62-40-2
67%
75-37-3
55%
48-39
56%
55-44
TTL
60%
62-42
59%
68-47
100%
87-0
100%
99-0
Contextual Game News
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Chicago Bulls Edge Phoenix Suns 124-117 in Preseason Opener
Mike Breen Issues Apology After LeBron James Shoots Down Embiid …
Desmond Bane Returns to FedExForum as Grizzlies Host Magic in Pr…