DETROIT
PISTONSDET
60-22 | Road
93
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
45-37 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
MAGIC
100%
PISTONS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-7 points
18.6%
DET By 8-14 points
26.8%
ORL By 1-7 points
6.8%
ORL By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
119
DETROIT
Orlando
106
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Detroit
105
DETROIT
Orlando
110
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pistons (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o210.5
Loss
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim
u210.5
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 3, 2026
ORL @ DET
94 - 116
May 1, 2026
DET @ ORL
93 - 79
Apr 29, 2026
ORL @ DET
109 - 116
Apr 27, 2026
DET @ ORL
88 - 94
Apr 25, 2026
DET @ ORL
105 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+39.7% more
Detroit: 9.9
vs
Orlando: 6.0
Turnovers (L5)
+17.0% more
Detroit: 17.8
vs
Orlando: 14.8
Rebounding (L5)
+10.1% more
Detroit: 47.7
vs
Orlando: 42.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.9%
Detroit: 75.8%
vs
Orlando: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
119.0
93
ORL Score
106.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 31.2
25.0 / 33.0
Assists
20.4 / 22.0
20.0 / 16.0
Blocks
6.0 / 9.9
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
41.9 / 45.5
35.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
67.9 / 75.8
76.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
42.9 / 47.7
38.0 / 52.0
Steals
10.2 / 8.3
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 17.8
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
DET
ORL
DET
ML
61%
65-42
55%
64-53
56%
51-40
49%
47-49
ATS
64%
68-38-1
53%
60-54-3
56%
51-40
49%
47-49
TTL
57%
61-46
60%
70-46-1
100%
91-0
100%
96-0
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