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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

41-30-11  |  Road

2
FINAL
Thu, Apr 30 • 10:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

43-33-6  |  Home

5
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
📊
DUCKS
100%
OILERS --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Edmonton)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 DucksANA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

93.3%

Ducks Cover

6.7%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

EDM By 1 goal

12.1%

EDM By 2-3 goals

37.2%

ANA By 1 goal

2.8%

ANA By 2-3 goals

1.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4
EDMONTON
1
ANAHEIM
Simulated Score
4
EDMONTON
2
ANAHEIM
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oilers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim Oilers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u7.0 Push
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u7.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 7, 2026 EDM @ ANA 5 - 2
Apr 30, 2026 EDM @ ANA 2 - 5
Apr 28, 2026 ANA @ EDM 1 - 4
Apr 24, 2026 EDM @ ANA 4 - 7
Apr 22, 2026 ANA @ EDM 6 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +24.0%
Edmonton: 24.7% vs Anaheim: 0.7%
Hits (L5) +10.3% more
Edmonton: 34.5 vs Anaheim: 30.9
Faceoff % (L5) +10.0%
Edmonton: 57.4% vs Anaheim: 47.4%
Takeaways (L5) +9.6% more
Edmonton: 4.8 vs Anaheim: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 4.0 2
ANA Score 1.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
64%MONEY36%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
87%MONEY13%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
64%MONEY36%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
EDM
ANA
EDM
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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