NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
53-29 | Road
140
ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
46-36 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
HAWKS
100%
KNICKS
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
5.8%
NY By 8-14 points
15.3%
ATL By 1-7 points
1.1%
ATL By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
127
NEW YORK
Atlanta
105
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
New York
113
NEW YORK
Atlanta
118
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o214.0
Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Sim
u214.0
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 30, 2026
NY @ ATL
140 - 89
Apr 28, 2026
ATL @ NY
97 - 126
Apr 25, 2026
NY @ ATL
114 - 98
Apr 23, 2026
NY @ ATL
108 - 109
Apr 20, 2026
ATL @ NY
107 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+19.7% more
New York: 45.2
vs
Atlanta: 36.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.9%
New York: 76.8%
vs
Atlanta: 68.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.1%
New York: 39.0%
vs
Atlanta: 32.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.6%
New York: 50.4%
vs
Atlanta: 44.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
127.0
140
ATL Score
105.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.0 / 39.0
26.0 / 36.0
Assists
23.1 / 23.7
22.0 / 33.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.4
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 50.4
38.0 / 59.0
Free Throw %
68.9 / 76.8
78.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
36.3 / 45.2
35.0 / 46.0
Steals
7.8 / 7.7
5.0 / 16.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 13.3
19.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
ATL
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
ATL
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
NY
ATL
NY
ML
50%
52-52
61%
114-72
55%
48-40
56%
57-45
ATS
53%
55-48-1
67%
124-62
55%
48-40
56%
57-45
TTL
53%
55-48-1
72%
133-53
100%
88-0
100%
102-0
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