BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
56-26 | Road
93
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
45-37 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
100%
76ERS
0%
CELTICS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
195.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
BOS By 1-7 points
9.3%
BOS By 8-14 points
2.7%
PHI By 1-7 points
21.6%
PHI By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
92
BOSTON
Philadelphia
103
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Boston
109
BOSTON
Philadelphia
118
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
76ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (+6)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u213.0
Win
Proj Total: 195.0
D
Sim
u213.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 2, 2026
PHI @ BOS
109 - 100
Apr 30, 2026
BOS @ PHI
93 - 106
Apr 28, 2026
PHI @ BOS
113 - 97
Apr 26, 2026
BOS @ PHI
128 - 96
Apr 24, 2026
BOS @ PHI
108 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+25.9% more
Philadelphia: 4.9
vs
Boston: 3.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.3%
Philadelphia: 80.5%
vs
Boston: 74.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.7%
Philadelphia: 45.6%
vs
Boston: 43.9%
Turnovers (L5)
+20.8% more
Boston: 13.2
vs
Philadelphia: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
92.0
93
PHI Score
103.0
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 36.0
33.0 / 29.0
Assists
22.1 / 25.6
22.0 / 18.0
Blocks
4.9 / 3.9
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.6 / 43.9
44.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
80.5 / 74.2
89.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
40.6 / 48.0
48.0 / 46.0
Steals
6.0 / 5.8
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 13.2
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
BOS
PHI
BOS
ML
63%
69-40
57%
61-46
48%
45-48
53%
47-41
ATS
65%
71-38
59%
61-43-3
48%
45-48
53%
47-41
TTL
55%
60-49
56%
60-47
100%
93-0
100%
88-0
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