Home / MLB Projections MLB / Angels @ White Sox LAA @ CHW

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

12-18  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, Apr 28 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

12-17  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Jose Fermin
STARTING PITCHER

Jose Fermin

#65 | Relief Pitcher
@
Sean Newcomb
STARTING PITCHER

Sean Newcomb

#15 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jose Fermin None-None 0.00 -- 1.2 1
Sean Newcomb None-None 4.00 -- 1.1 3
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 Ldr ERA 4.00
-- WHIP --
1.2 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.1
1 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
100%
📊
WHITE SOX
0%
ANGELS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Chicago)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

40.1%

White Sox Cover

59.9%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

LAA By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.6%

CHW By 1-2 runs

19.6%

CHW By 3-4 runs

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
2
LOS ANGELES
3
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI White Sox Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI White Sox (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim White Sox (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u7.0 Push
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim o7.0 Push
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 6, 2026 CHW @ LAA 2 - 8
May 5, 2026 CHW @ LAA 3 - 4
May 4, 2026 CHW @ LAA 6 - 0
Apr 29, 2026 LAA @ CHW 2 - 3
Apr 28, 2026 LAA @ CHW 2 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.679
OPS
▲ .826
154 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season) +48.5% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
Home Runs (L5) +33.0% more
Chicago: 1.2 vs Los Angeles: 0.9
OPS (Season) +14.7%
Chicago: 82.6% vs Los Angeles: 67.9%
On-Base Pct (Season) +10.5%
Chicago: 41.5% vs Los Angeles: 31.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 2.0 2
CHW Score 3.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.8 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.8 / 11.7 9.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 0.9 3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.6 / 8.0 13.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 12.5 / 17.6 18.0 / 13.0
Walks 3.7 / 4.1 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
LAA
CHW
LAA
ML
49% 81-86
59% 96-66
56% 94-73
55% 89-73
ATS
59% 99-68
60% 97-65
56% 93-74
51% 82-80
TTL
58% 96-69-2
53% 83-74-5
51% 84-81-2
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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