MIAMI
MARLINSMIA
13-16 | Road
2
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
20-9 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Phillips
#30 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Dreyer
#86 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Phillips | None-None | 1.47 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
| Jack Dreyer | None-None | 3.46 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.47 Ldr
ERA
3.46
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 2
AI Model Win Probability
MARLINS
0%
DODGERS
100%
MARLINS
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Miami)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)
MIA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIA By 3-4 runs
18.4%
LAD By 1-2 runs
13.6%
LAD By 3-4 runs
7.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami
5
MIAMI
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Miami
6
MIAMI
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Marlins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Marlins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Marlins (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Marlins (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
LAD @ MIA
4 - 6
Sep 12, 2026
LAD @ MIA
3 - 4
Sep 11, 2026
LAD @ MIA
6 - 2
Apr 29, 2026
MIA @ LAD
3 - 2
Apr 28, 2026
MIA @ LAD
2 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Miami
MIA
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.41
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.249
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.326
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.727
OPS
▲
.762
168
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+23.0% more
Miami: 0.9
vs
Los Angeles: 0.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+43.2% more
Los Angeles: 9.9
vs
Miami: 6.9
Hits (L5)
+25.1% more
Los Angeles: 8.4
vs
Miami: 6.7
Errors (L5)
+25.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.6
vs
Miami: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIA Score
5.0
2
LAD Score
3.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.3
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.4 / 6.7
7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.9 / 6.9
13.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
12.7 / 10.7
7.0 / 9.0
Walks
4.1 / 4.4
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIA
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIA
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIA
82-75-5
O: 52.2% / U: 47.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
MIA
LAD
MIA
ML
56%
92-73
48%
78-84
48%
79-87
55%
88-72
ATS
59%
98-67
56%
91-71
43%
72-94
54%
86-74
TTL
48%
77-82-6
56%
88-69-5
44%
70-90-6
53%
82-73-5
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