PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
42-40 | Road
95
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
62-20 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
SPURS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
239.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SA -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
POR By 1-7 points
1.4%
POR By 8-14 points
0.2%
SA By 1-7 points
6.8%
SA By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
109
PORTLAND
San Antonio
130
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Portland
106
PORTLAND
San Antonio
112
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Spurs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Spurs (-11)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Spurs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o218.5
Loss
Proj Total: 239.0
D
Sim
u218.5
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 28, 2026
POR @ SA
95 - 114
Apr 26, 2026
SA @ POR
114 - 93
Apr 24, 2026
SA @ POR
120 - 108
Apr 21, 2026
POR @ SA
106 - 103
Apr 19, 2026
POR @ SA
98 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.4% more
San Antonio: 7.4
vs
Portland: 5.7
Assists (L5)
+26.2% more
San Antonio: 25.6
vs
Portland: 20.3
Steals (L5)
+22.3% more
San Antonio: 9.2
vs
Portland: 7.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
San Antonio: 40.5%
vs
Portland: 33.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
109.0
95
SA Score
130.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.5 / 33.5
40.0 / 23.0
Assists
25.6 / 20.3
27.0 / 24.0
Blocks
7.4 / 5.7
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 42.1
55.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
79.7 / 77.2
69.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
44.8 / 41.8
42.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.2 / 7.5
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 14.7
17.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
POR
SA
POR
ML
60%
111-73
53%
56-49
58%
61-44
55%
49-40
ATS
58%
107-76-1
62%
65-39-1
58%
61-44
55%
49-40
TTL
74%
134-47-3
56%
58-46-1
100%
105-0
100%
89-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…