SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
14-15 | Road
4
MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
12-16 | Home
11
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cole Wilcox
#43 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Taylor Rogers
#55 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Wilcox | None-None | 6.35 | -- | 1.1 | 1 |
| Taylor Rogers | None-None | 6.52 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
6.35 Ldr
ERA
6.52
--
WHIP
--
1.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
100%
TWINS
0%
MARINERS
--
TWINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
SEA By 1-2 runs
13.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
7.8%
MIN By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIN By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Minnesota
5
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Twins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Twins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Twins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 2, 2026
MIN @ SEA
6 - 7
Aug 1, 2026
MIN @ SEA
3 - 4
Jul 31, 2026
MIN @ SEA
5 - 3
Apr 29, 2026
SEA @ MIN
5 - 3
Apr 28, 2026
SEA @ MIN
7 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Minnesota
MIN
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.56
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.693
OPS
▲
.720
182
Home Runs
▲
187
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+41.0% more
Minnesota: 3.5
vs
Seattle: 2.5
Errors (L5)
+31.0% more
Minnesota: 0.5
vs
Seattle: 0.2
Runs per Game (Season)
+11.2% more
Minnesota: 4.6
vs
Seattle: 4.1
Home Runs (Season)
+2.7% more
Minnesota: 187.0
vs
Seattle: 182.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
3.0
4
MIN Score
5.0
11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.7 / 10.6
12.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 1.9
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.1 / 6.3
7.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
10.8 / 17.7
21.0 / 8.0
Walks
3.5 / 2.5
5.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
MIN
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
SEA
MIN
SEA
ML
52%
84-78
50%
81-81
50%
80-81
52%
85-77
ATS
59%
95-67
60%
98-64
59%
95-66
59%
95-67
TTL
51%
78-75-9
56%
85-67-10
53%
80-72-9
53%
81-71-10
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