Home / MLB Projections MLB / Cubs @ Dodgers CHC @ LAD

CHICAGO

CUBSCHC

17-10  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sun, Apr 26 • 4:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

18-9  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Shota Imanaga
STARTING PITCHER

Shota Imanaga

#18 | Starting Pitcher
@
Jack Dreyer
STARTING PITCHER

Jack Dreyer

#86 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Shota Imanaga None-None 2.88 -- 5.1 6
Jack Dreyer None-None 3.75 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
2.88 Ldr ERA 3.75
-- WHIP --
5.1 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
6 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
0%
📊
DODGERS
100%
CUBS --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CubsCHC (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cubs Cover

40.1%

Dodgers Cover

59.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

CHC By 1-2 runs

19.6%

CHC By 3-4 runs

16.3%

LAD By 1-2 runs

16.3%

LAD By 3-4 runs

10.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4
CHICAGO
3
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
3
CHICAGO
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cubs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Dodgers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Dodgers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Sim Dodgers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u9.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u9.0 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 5, 2026 LAD @ CHC 6 - 7
Aug 4, 2026 LAD @ CHC 1 - 5
Aug 3, 2026 LAD @ CHC 5 - 10
Apr 26, 2026 CHC @ LAD 0 - 6
Apr 25, 2026 CHC @ LAD 4 - 12
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHC
vs
Los Angeles LAD
2
Games Played
▲ 162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.374
OPS
▲ .762
0
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +62.4% more
Chicago: 2.4 vs Los Angeles: 0.9
Walks (L5) +54.4% more
Chicago: 3.8 vs Los Angeles: 1.7
Total Bases (L5) +27.3% more
Chicago: 20.4 vs Los Angeles: 14.8
Hits (L5) +16.3% more
Chicago: 11.3 vs Los Angeles: 9.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHC Score 4.0 0
LAD Score 3.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.6 / 0.5 0.0 / 2.0
Hits 9.4 / 11.3 7.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 2.4 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 10.1 / 7.0 8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 14.8 / 20.4 14.0 / 5.0
Walks 1.7 / 3.8 6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
30%MONEY70%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC
89-75-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5% Total +/-: +1.0
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
CHC
LAD
CHC
ML
56% 92-73
58% 93-68
48% 79-87
51% 82-79
ATS
59% 98-67
61% 97-63-1
43% 72-94
47% 75-85-1
TTL
48% 77-82-6
52% 81-74-6
44% 70-90-6
46% 72-83-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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