DETROIT
PISTONSDET
60-22 | Road
88
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
45-37 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
MAGIC
100%
PISTONS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-7 points
25.3%
DET By 8-14 points
26.2%
ORL By 1-7 points
13.7%
ORL By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
121
DETROIT
Orlando
113
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Detroit
105
DETROIT
Orlando
118
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pistons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pistons (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o215.0
Loss
Proj Total: 234.0
D
Sim
u215.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 3, 2026
ORL @ DET
94 - 116
May 1, 2026
DET @ ORL
93 - 79
Apr 29, 2026
ORL @ DET
109 - 116
Apr 27, 2026
DET @ ORL
88 - 94
Apr 25, 2026
DET @ ORL
105 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+29.7% more
Detroit: 9.4
vs
Orlando: 6.6
Turnovers (L5)
+11.8% more
Detroit: 17.3
vs
Orlando: 15.3
Assists (L5)
+11.6% more
Detroit: 25.5
vs
Orlando: 22.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.8%
Detroit: 46.6%
vs
Orlando: 41.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
121.0
88
ORL Score
113.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 33.2
26.0 / 20.0
Assists
22.6 / 25.5
15.0 / 18.0
Blocks
6.6 / 9.4
6.0 / 18.0
Field Goal %
41.8 / 46.6
33.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
76.1 / 75.1
74.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
45.7 / 46.1
52.0 / 49.0
Steals
9.9 / 8.6
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 17.3
12.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
DET
ORL
DET
ML
61%
65-42
55%
64-53
56%
51-40
49%
47-49
ATS
64%
68-38-1
53%
60-54-3
56%
51-40
49%
47-49
TTL
57%
61-46
60%
70-46-1
100%
91-0
100%
96-0
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