CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
17-9 | Road
4
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
17-9 | Home
12
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Javier Assad
#72 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Will Klein
#61 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad | None-None | 7.58 | -- | 2.1 | 2 |
| Will Klein | None-None | 2.45 | -- | 1.1 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
7.58
ERA
Ldr 2.45
--
WHIP
--
2.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.1
2
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
100%
DODGERS
0%
CUBS
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
CHC By 1-2 runs
16.3%
CHC By 3-4 runs
10.6%
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.6%
LAD By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Dodgers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o9.5
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim
u9.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 5, 2026
LAD @ CHC
6 - 7
Aug 4, 2026
LAD @ CHC
1 - 5
Aug 3, 2026
LAD @ CHC
5 - 10
Apr 26, 2026
CHC @ LAD
0 - 6
Apr 25, 2026
CHC @ LAD
4 - 12
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHC
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
2
Games Played
▲
162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.374
OPS
▲
.762
0
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+20400.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+444.0% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
Chicago: 0.5
OPS (Season)
+38.8%
Los Angeles: 76.2%
vs
Chicago: 37.4%
Strikeouts (L5)
+36.8% more
Los Angeles: 9.7
vs
Chicago: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHC Score
5.0
4
LAD Score
6.0
12
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.7
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.1 / 12.4
14.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 2.1
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
9.7 / 7.1
11.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
11.2 / 21.6
22.0 / 18.0
Walks
1.6 / 2.7
2.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
CHC
LAD
CHC
ML
56%
92-73
58%
93-68
48%
79-87
51%
82-79
ATS
59%
98-67
61%
97-63-1
43%
72-94
47%
75-85-1
TTL
48%
77-82-6
52%
81-74-6
44%
70-90-6
46%
72-83-6
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