LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
12-15 | Road
1
KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
9-17 | Home
12
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Walbert Urena
#57 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Daniel Lynch IV
#41 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walbert Urena | None-None | 4.76 | -- | 3.2 | 3 |
| Daniel Lynch IV | None-None | 0.87 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.76
ERA
Ldr 0.87
--
WHIP
--
3.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
100%
ROYALS
0%
ANGELS
--
ROYALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Kansas City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around KC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)
LAA By 1-2 runs
16.3%
LAA By 3-4 runs
10.6%
KC By 1-2 runs
19.6%
KC By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Kansas City
6
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
7
LOS ANGELES
Kansas City
4
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Royals
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Angels
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Royals (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Angels (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o9.0
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim
o9.0
Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 16, 2026
KC @ LAA
3 - 0
Aug 15, 2026
KC @ LAA
0 - 1
Aug 14, 2026
KC @ LAA
7 - 6
Apr 26, 2026
LAA @ KC
9 - 11
Apr 25, 2026
LAA @ KC
1 - 12
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Kansas City
KC
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.26
.234
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.316
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.679
OPS
▲
.718
154
Home Runs
▲
170
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+78.9% more
Kansas City: 5.5
vs
Los Angeles: 3.1
Home Runs (L5)
+36.0% more
Kansas City: 1.0
vs
Los Angeles: 0.7
Total Bases (L5)
+32.8% more
Kansas City: 14.9
vs
Los Angeles: 11.2
Hits (L5)
+16.6% more
Kansas City: 9.0
vs
Los Angeles: 7.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
5.0
1
KC Score
6.0
12
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.1
0.0 / 3.0
Hits
9.0 / 7.8
14.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 0.7
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.3 / 8.6
14.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
14.9 / 11.2
19.0 / 13.0
Walks
5.5 / 3.1
0.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
KC
Advantage
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
LAA
KC
LAA
ML
55%
89-72
59%
96-66
56%
90-70
55%
89-73
ATS
57%
91-70
60%
97-65
58%
93-67
51%
82-80
TTL
58%
90-64-7
53%
83-74-5
54%
83-70-7
52%
82-75-5
Contextual Game News
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…
Walt Weiss Reveals Why Ronald Acuña Jr. Was DH in Game 3