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BUFFALO

SABRESBUF

50-23-9  |  Road

6
FINAL
Sun, Apr 26 • 2:00 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

45-27-10  |  Home

1
AI Model Win Probability
SABRES
100%
📊
BRUINS
0%
SABRES --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Boston)
SabresBUF (-3.5) 0 BruinsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sabres Cover

30.9%

Bruins Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BUF By 1 goal

12.1%

BUF By 2-3 goals

9.3%

BOS By 1 goal

19.7%

BOS By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
BUFFALO
4
BOSTON
Simulated Score
4
BUFFALO
2
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bruins Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sabres Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bruins (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Sabres (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 1, 2026 BUF @ BOS 4 - 1
Apr 28, 2026 BOS @ BUF 2 - 1
Apr 26, 2026 BUF @ BOS 6 - 1
Apr 23, 2026 BUF @ BOS 3 - 1
Apr 21, 2026 BOS @ BUF 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +52.9% more
Boston: 18.6 vs Buffalo: 12.2
Faceoff % (L5) +3.9%
Boston: 52.0% vs Buffalo: 48.1%
Power Play % (L5) +24.9%
Buffalo: 26.3% vs Boston: 1.5%
Shots on Goal (L5) +17.4% more
Buffalo: 27.2 vs Boston: 22.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUF Score 3.0 6
BOS Score 4.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
20%MONEY80%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
77%MONEY23%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
BUF
BOS
BUF
ML
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
ATS
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
100% 3-0
TTL
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Bruins Look to Fix Special Teams as Senators Come to Town
yardbarker 4 days, 1 hour ago
Jiri Kulich's Emotional Game-Winner Lifts Sabres Over Blackhawks…
theathleticuk 4 days, 13 hours ago
Kaprizov's Two Goals Propel Wild Past Bruins 4-1
abcnews 4 days, 19 hours ago
Wild Aim to Stay Perfect at Home Against Bruins; Newcomers Shine…
yardbarker 5 days, 13 hours ago
Peterka's Overtime Heroics Lift Bruins Over Jets in Season Opener
boston 5 days, 19 hours ago