CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
53-22-7 | Road
4
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
44-27-11 | Home
2
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
0%
SENATORS
100%
HURRICANES
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
CAR By 1 goal
12.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
37.2%
OTT By 1 goal
2.8%
OTT By 2-3 goals
1.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Ottawa
1
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 25, 2026
CAR @ OTT
4 - 2
Apr 23, 2026
CAR @ OTT
2 - 1
Apr 20, 2026
OTT @ CAR
2 - 3
Apr 18, 2026
OTT @ CAR
0 - 2
Apr 5, 2026
CAR @ OTT
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.5% more
Carolina: 31.3
vs
Ottawa: 24.3
Power Play % (L5)
+43.0%
Ottawa: 63.5%
vs
Carolina: 20.5%
Takeaways (L5)
+27.3% more
Ottawa: 5.9
vs
Carolina: 4.6
Hits (L5)
+16.9% more
Ottawa: 39.2
vs
Carolina: 33.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAR Score
4.0
4
OTT Score
1.0
2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
CAR
OTT
CAR
ML
25%
1-3
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
ATS
25%
1-3
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
TTL
50%
2-2
0%
0-5
50%
2-2
20%
1-4
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