SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
11-15 | Road
3
ST. LOUIS
CARDINALSSTL
14-10 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Gordon Graceffo
#44 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 7.20 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Gordon Graceffo | None-None | 0.66 | -- | 2.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
7.20
ERA
Ldr 0.66
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
100%
CARDINALS
0%
MARINERS
--
CARDINALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around STL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
SEA By 1-2 runs
16.3%
SEA By 3-4 runs
10.6%
STL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
STL By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
St. Louis
5
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
St. Louis
5
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cardinals
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Cardinals (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
u8.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 26, 2026
SEA @ STL
3 - 2
Apr 25, 2026
SEA @ STL
11 - 9
Apr 24, 2026
SEA @ STL
3 - 2
Sep 10, 2025
STL @ SEA
2 - 4
Sep 9, 2025
STL @ SEA
3 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
St. Louis
STL
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.44
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.239
.314
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.313
.379
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.378
.693
▲
OPS
.691
182
▲
Home Runs
167
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+27.4% more
St. Louis: 4.0
vs
Seattle: 3.1
Runs per Game (Season)
+8.3% more
St. Louis: 4.4
vs
Seattle: 4.1
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.6%
St. Louis: 23.9%
vs
Seattle: 23.3%
Hits (L5)
+34.3% more
Seattle: 10.4
vs
St. Louis: 6.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
4.0
3
STL Score
5.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.7
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.8 / 10.4
8.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.3
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.5 / 7.8
10.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
11.5 / 16.2
9.0 / 8.0
Walks
4.0 / 3.1
5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
STL
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
STL
Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
SEA
STL
SEA
ML
53%
85-74
50%
81-81
52%
84-77
52%
85-77
ATS
56%
89-70
60%
98-64
53%
85-76
59%
95-67
TTL
46%
68-81-10
56%
85-67-10
50%
76-75-10
53%
81-71-10
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