CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
16-9 | Road
6
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
17-8 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ryan Rolison
#33 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Edgardo Henriquez
#60 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rolison | None-None | 0.00 | -- | 3.0 | 1 |
| Edgardo Henriquez | None-None | 4.91 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
0.00 Ldr
ERA
4.91
--
WHIP
--
3.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
1 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
100%
DODGERS
0%
CUBS
--
DODGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAD -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
CHC By 1-2 runs
16.3%
CHC By 3-4 runs
10.6%
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.6%
LAD By 3-4 runs
16.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
Chicago
4
CHICAGO
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim
Dodgers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
o9.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 5, 2026
LAD @ CHC
6 - 7
Aug 4, 2026
LAD @ CHC
1 - 5
Aug 3, 2026
LAD @ CHC
5 - 10
Apr 26, 2026
CHC @ LAD
0 - 6
Apr 25, 2026
CHC @ LAD
4 - 12
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHC
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
2
Games Played
▲
162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.374
OPS
▲
.762
0
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+20400.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+444.0% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
Chicago: 0.5
OPS (Season)
+38.8%
Los Angeles: 76.2%
vs
Chicago: 37.4%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+27.9%
Los Angeles: 42.4%
vs
Chicago: 14.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHC Score
4.0
6
LAD Score
5.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 1.0
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.7 / 13.1
6.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 2.1
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.0 / 7.6
13.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
11.3 / 21.8
11.0 / 21.0
Walks
1.4 / 2.5
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
Advantage
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
CHC
LAD
CHC
ML
56%
92-73
58%
93-68
48%
79-87
51%
82-79
ATS
59%
98-67
61%
97-63-1
43%
72-94
47%
75-85-1
TTL
48%
77-82-6
52%
81-74-6
44%
70-90-6
46%
72-83-6
Contextual Game News
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat