Home / NHL Projections NHL / Golden Knights @ Mammoth VGK @ UTA

VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

39-26-17  |  Road

2
FINAL
Fri, Apr 24 • 9:30 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

43-33-6  |  Home

4
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
📊
MAMMOTH
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS --
MAMMOTH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Vegas)
Golden KnightsVGK (-3.5) 0 MammothUTA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Knights Cover

84.1%

Mammoth Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)

VGK By 1 goal

17.5%

VGK By 2-3 goals

37.2%

UTA By 1 goal

6.6%

UTA By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
VEGAS
1
UTAH
Simulated Score
2
VEGAS
4
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Golden Knights Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mammoth Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Golden Knights (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Mammoth (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.0 Push
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 29, 2026 UTA @ VGK 4 - 5
Apr 24, 2026 VGK @ UTA 2 - 4
Mar 19, 2026 UTA @ VGK 4 - 0
Nov 24, 2025 VGK @ UTA 1 - 5
Nov 20, 2025 VGK @ UTA 4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +63.7% more
Vegas: 14.5 vs Utah: 5.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +18.3% more
Vegas: 26.9 vs Utah: 22.0
Faceoff % (L5) +2.4%
Vegas: 53.3% vs Utah: 51.0%
Power Play % (L5) +10.4%
Utah: 33.0% vs Vegas: 22.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VGK Score 3.0 2
UTA Score 1.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
50%MONEY50%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
59%MONEY41%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
VGK
UTA
VGK
ML
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
TTL
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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