BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
56-26 | Road
108
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
45-37 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
76ERS
100%
CELTICS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
BOS By 1-7 points
27.2%
BOS By 8-14 points
23.0%
PHI By 1-7 points
18.6%
PHI By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
113
BOSTON
Philadelphia
108
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Boston
112
BOSTON
Philadelphia
115
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (+9)
Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o215.0
Loss
Proj Total: 221.0
D
Sim
u215.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 2, 2026
PHI @ BOS
109 - 100
Apr 30, 2026
BOS @ PHI
93 - 106
Apr 28, 2026
PHI @ BOS
113 - 97
Apr 26, 2026
BOS @ PHI
128 - 96
Apr 24, 2026
BOS @ PHI
108 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+26.3% more
Boston: 26.8
vs
Philadelphia: 19.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.2%
Boston: 81.5%
vs
Philadelphia: 70.3%
Turnovers (L5)
+8.4% more
Boston: 13.0
vs
Philadelphia: 11.9
Steals (L5)
+16.1% more
Philadelphia: 7.1
vs
Boston: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
113.0
108
PHI Score
108.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 34.7
34.0 / 43.0
Assists
19.7 / 26.8
18.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.9
8.0 / 11.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 45.2
44.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
70.3 / 81.5
75.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
43.0 / 46.2
37.0 / 45.0
Steals
7.1 / 6.1
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 13.0
11.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
BOS
PHI
BOS
ML
63%
69-40
57%
61-46
48%
45-48
53%
47-41
ATS
65%
71-38
59%
61-43-3
48%
45-48
53%
47-41
TTL
55%
60-49
56%
60-47
100%
93-0
100%
88-0
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