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ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

13-11  |  Road

4
FINAL
Wed, Apr 22 • 4:10 PM ET
T-Mobile Park
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

MARINERSSEA

10-15  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER

Brady Basso

#66 | Relief Pitcher
@
Andres Munoz
STARTING PITCHER

Andres Munoz

#75 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Brady Basso None-None 0.00 -- 0.2 --
Andres Munoz None-None 8.00 -- 1.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
0.00 Ldr ERA 8.00
-- WHIP --
0.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
0%
📊
MARINERS
100%
ATHLETICS --
MARINERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Athletics)
AthleticsATH (-3.5) 0 MarinersSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Athletics Cover

69.1%

Mariners Cover

30.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

ATH By 1-2 runs

19.6%

ATH By 3-4 runs

18.4%

SEA By 1-2 runs

13.6%

SEA By 3-4 runs

7.8%

AI Model Projected Score
5
ATHLETICS
3
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
5
ATHLETICS
3
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Athletics Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Athletics Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Athletics (-1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim Athletics (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o7.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim o7.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 13, 2026 SEA @ ATH 7 - 8
Sep 12, 2026 SEA @ ATH 19 - 1
Sep 11, 2026 SEA @ ATH 5 - 6
Sep 6, 2026 ATH @ SEA 0 - 2
Sep 5, 2026 ATH @ SEA 6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics ATH
vs
Seattle SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.31 ▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.245 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.317 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.402 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.719 ▲
OPS
.693
194 ▲
Home Runs
182
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5) +21.9% more
Athletics: 18.4 vs Seattle: 14.4
Home Runs (L5) +21.3% more
Athletics: 1.8 vs Seattle: 1.4
Hits (L5) +17.1% more
Athletics: 10.4 vs Seattle: 8.6
Walks (L5) +8.4% more
Athletics: 3.4 vs Seattle: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATH Score 5.0 4
SEA Score 3.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.1 2.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.6 / 10.4 14.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 1.8 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.3 / 7.8 7.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 14.4 / 18.4 20.0 / 13.0
Walks 3.2 / 3.4 3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
SEA Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
ATH
SEA
ATH
ML
50% 81-81
59% 95-67
52% 85-77
54% 87-74
ATS
60% 98-64
52% 84-78
59% 95-67
50% 81-80
TTL
56% 85-67-10
54% 84-73-5
53% 81-71-10
42% 66-90-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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